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TSLA 전략 상세

최근 1년 일봉 기반의 일자별 신호와 종합의견

매도

총점: 54.49

기준일: 2026-09-02

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1년 가격 추이 + 매매 시그널

매수 실행매도 실행

매매 신호 백테스트

초기 투자금 10,000,000원 기준

12개월

-0.30%

-₩30,417

최종 평가액: ₩9,969,583

매수 5회 · 매도 5회

246거래일

시작: 2025-09-11

6개월

-4.29%

-₩428,615

최종 평가액: ₩9,571,385

매수 1회 · 매도 1회

81거래일

시작: 2026-05-08

3개월

매수 신호 없음

1개월

매수 신호 없음

1주일

매수 신호 없음

전략별 점수 (기준일 2026-09-02)

카테고리	거장	점수	신호	근거
Classic&Trend	Jesse Livermore	49.70	neutral	추세 중립/약세
Classic&Trend	Nicolas Darvas	55.48	neutral	박스 내 움직임
Classic&Trend	Paul Tudor Jones	45.00	bearish	200DMA 하회 리스크
Classic&Trend	Richard Dennis	50.00	neutral	채널 내부
DayTrading&Technical	Linda Raschke	78.00	bullish	리듬 약함
DayTrading&Technical	Oliver Velez	70.00	bullish	20EMA 위 추세
DayTrading&Technical	Ross Cameron	37.00	bearish	중립
DayTrading&Technical	Steven Dux	45.00	bearish	통계 패턴 미약
Pattern&Momentum	Dan Zanger	50.00	neutral	관망 구간
Pattern&Momentum	Kristjan Kullamagi	45.00	bearish	이벤트 신호 약함
Pattern&Momentum	Mark Minervini	72.49	bullish	변동성 수축 진행

관련 뉴스/정보

2026-09-05T12:54:20+00:00 · GuruFocus
Tesla's Cybercab Update Falls Short, Stock (TSLA) Drops Over 6%
2026-09-05T12:01:14+00:00 · Benzinga
Benzinga Bulls and Bears: Palo Alto, Ciena, Lululemon
2026-09-05T10:09:22+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Slips Overnight: Tesla Model Y L Rumors Heat Up After ‘Long Weekend’ Tease As Investors Await Q2 Deliveries
2026-09-05T09:57:38+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Jumps As Cybercabs Hit Texas Robotaxi Roster Ahead Of Launch Event
2026-09-05T09:50:25+00:00 · Stocktwits
Why Are Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Rising Premarket? TSLA, AVGO, SNOW, HPE, PLTR, LULU Stocks In Focus
2026-09-05T08:50:03+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Rises Overnight: JPMorgan Says Tesla-SpaceX Merger Looks ‘Coherent On Paper’ — But China Approval Risks Loom
2026-09-05T08:18:43+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Rebounds Premarket After Q2 Rout — Cathie Wood Bought The Dip, Retail Influencer Sees SpaceX Merger Reveal In 3 Weeks
2026-09-05T08:00:00+00:00 · Barrons.com
A Used EV Is the Way to Get Those Luxury Wheels
There are huge discounts—$30,000 and up—on lots of lightly used electric vehicles coming off lease. Just know that they’re still pricey.
2026-09-05T06:28:37+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Recovers To Close Nearly 2% Higher As SpaceX IPO Debuts
2026-09-05T06:12:45+00:00 · Yahoo Finance
Tesla (TSLA) Faces NHTSA Cybercab Safety Probe After Austin Robotaxi Rollout
US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration opens investigation into Tesla (NasdaqGS:TSLA) Cybercab robotaxi safety compliance after commercial rollout in Austin, Texas. Probe centers on whether Cybercab vehicles without traditional steering wheels and pedals meet federal motor vehicle safety standards. Review focuses on Tesla's self-certification process and how the company addresses occupant safety in fully autonomous commercial service. Investigation outcome may affect regulatory...
2026-09-05T06:12:45+00:00 · Simply Wall St.
Tesla (TSLA) Faces NHTSA Cybercab Safety Probe After Austin Robotaxi Rollout
US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration opens investigation into Tesla (NasdaqGS:TSLA) Cybercab robotaxi safety compliance after commercial rollout in Austin, Texas. Probe centers on whether Cybercab vehicles without traditional steering wheels and pedals meet federal motor vehicle safety standards. Review focuses on Tesla's self-certification process and how the company addresses occupant safety in fully autonomous commercial service. Investigation outcome may affect regulatory...
2026-09-05T06:06:05+00:00 · Stocktwits
Nasdaq Futures Edge Higher As Jobs Report Takes Center Stage: TSLA, LULU, ORCL, PL, NVDA, PLTR, RKLB In Focus
2026-09-05T05:29:58+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Extends Tumble Overnight: Munster Sees Capex Blowing Past Street Estimates Next Year Too
2026-09-05T05:22:22+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Hits 1-Month Low Amid SpaceX Merger Jitters — But Analyst Sees Tesla Holders Getting 66% Of Deal Within A Year
2026-09-05T05:19:35+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Rallies Into Invite-Only Cybercab Event — Then Trades Flat After-Hours As The Wheel-Free Car Hits Austin Streets
2026-09-05T05:03:07+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Sinks As SpaceX IPO Nears — Analyst Says Investors Are Selling Tesla To Catch A Day-1 Pop In Next Musk Trade
2026-09-05T04:58:18+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock: Elon Musk Exercises 2018 Stock Options Award, Boosts Stake In EV Giant
2026-09-05T04:53:47+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Weakens As Elon Musk’s Optimus Faces New Challengers
2026-09-05T03:54:18+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Watches SpaceX IPO While Cheapest Cybertruck Hits Driveways After Long Wait
2026-09-05T03:34:44+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock Dips — Tesla Gears Up To Ramp European Production To 7,500 Vehicles Per Week Amid FSD Push
2026-09-05T03:12:15+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock’s 3-Week Rally Faces A Test — Why Waymo’s ‘Defensive’ Turn Makes This Bullish Analyst Love Tesla Even More
2026-09-05T02:37:45+00:00 · Stocktwits
Tesla Wins Over Another Skeptic: JPMorgan Raises TSLA Stock Price Target By More Than 200%
2026-09-05T02:03:00+00:00 · Yahoo Finance
SpaceX is now in your 401(k), and Musk is the risk
One man, two prospectuses, the same warning buried in both
2026-09-05T02:03:00+00:00 · TheStreet
SpaceX is now in your 401(k), and Musk is the risk
One man, two prospectuses, the same warning buried in both
2026-09-05T01:58:10+00:00 · Yahoo Finance
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Trades Down, Here Is Why
Shares of electric vehicle pioneer Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) fell 6% in the afternoon session after U.S. safety regulators said they were evaluating the rollout of the company's new Cybercab, compounding a sell-the-news reaction to a launch event.
2026-09-05T01:58:10+00:00 · StockStory
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Trades Down, Here Is Why
Shares of electric vehicle pioneer Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) fell 6% in the afternoon session after U.S. safety regulators said they were evaluating the rollout of the company's new Cybercab, compounding a sell-the-news reaction to a launch event.
2026-09-05T00:05:34+00:00 · Stocktwits
TSLA Stock: Major Roadblock For Tesla FSD As Sweden Reportedly Opposes EU-Wide Approval
2026-09-04T23:17:00+00:00 · Yahoo Finance
Self-Driving’s Next Task: Potholes
REVIEW On Monday, shares of Tesla jumped 5.5%, closing at $367.95, up 18% for the month after dropping 26% in July. Why the rise? There were no Wall Street upgrades or price-target changes. One Global exchange-traded fund co-founder Gary Black speculated investors might be anticipating the launch of Cybercab, Tesla’s robo-taxi, which lacks a steering wheel.
2026-09-04T23:17:00+00:00 · Barrons.com
Self-Driving’s Next Task: Potholes
REVIEW On Monday, shares of Tesla jumped 5.5%, closing at $367.95, up 18% for the month after dropping 26% in July. Why the rise? There were no Wall Street upgrades or price-target changes. One Global exchange-traded fund co-founder Gary Black speculated investors might be anticipating the launch of Cybercab, Tesla’s robo-taxi, which lacks a steering wheel.
2026-09-04T22:41:01+00:00 · Yahoo Finance
Tesla Launched the Cybercab Thursday, 6 Weeks After Removing Volume Production of It From This Year's Plan
Riders in Austin can now hail the two-seater. The company's own July letter says batteries still set the pace.

AI 해설

전략 점수와 뉴스를 바탕으로 자동 생성된 해설입니다.

## Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) 종목 해설 — 2026-07-16

### 종합 해설
Tesla는 2026-07-16 기준 **매도** 의견으로, 종합 점수 48.70점을 기록하고 있습니다. 클래식(50.67), 패턴(47.95), 일간(47.52) 점수가 모두 50점 전후에 머물며 방향성이 불분명한 중립적 상태를 보이고 있습니다. 신뢰도(2.60)는 전 종목 중 최하위 수준으로, 현재 매도 신호의 실질적 강도가 매우 낮습니다. 90일간 주가는 $398.68에서 $391.06으로 약 2% 소폭 하락하며 실질적으로 횡보 중입니다.

### 핵심 상승 요인 3개
1. **200DMA 권역 유지**: Paul Tudor Jones 전략(60점)이 200DMA 하회 리스크를 경고하나, 아직 완전한 이탈은 아닌 경계 구간에 위치하고 있습니다.
2. **Linda Raschke 되돌림 진행**: Raschke 전략(60점)이 되돌림 진행을 시사하며, 기술적 반발 매수 가능성이 존재합니다.
3. **EV 섹터 관심 지속**: 일부 분석가들이 현재 주가 수준에서 EV 주식의 리스크 대비 수익 가능성을 주목하며, 선택적 관심이 유지되고 있습니다.

### 핵심 하락 요인 3개
1. **전 전략 약세/중립 집중**: 9개 전략 중 상승 신호를 내는 전략이 전무하며, 모든 전략이 중립 또는 약세를 가리키는 이례적인 약세 집중 패턴이 확인됩니다.
2. **Ross Cameron·Steven Dux 약세**: 단기 모멘텀 전략들(각각 37.1점, 45점)이 단기 가격 동력 부재를 경고합니다.
3. **SpaceX 불확실성 파급**: 스타십 13차 시험 비행 중단(엔진 점화 실패)이 일론 머스크 관련 전체 포트폴리오의 신뢰도에 영향을 미치고 있습니다.

### 리스크 경고
- 신뢰도 2.60이라는 극히 낮은 수치는 현재 신호가 매우 불안정하여 급격한 방향 전환이 언제든 발생할 수 있음을 의미합니다.
- 유가 변동성 확대와 EV 수요 불확실성이 단기 실적에 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다.
- 자율주행(FSD) 기술 상용화 지연과 가격 인하 정책 지속이 마진 압박으로 작용하고 있습니다.

### 참고용 체크포인트
- $390 지지선 이탈 여부가 단기 핵심 기술적 분기점
- Oliver Velez 20EMA 복귀(현재 하회 중)를 단기 전환 신호로 모니터링
- 다음 분기 차량 인도량 및 에너지 사업 매출 비중 변화에 집중
- Cybercab 등 로보택시 서비스 출시 일정 가시화 여부가 중기 방향성의 핵심 촉매