미국 시장
NVDA 전략 상세
최근 1년 일봉 기반의 일자별 신호와 종합의견
총점: 50.92
기준일: 2026-07-02
1년 가격 추이 + 매매 시그널
매매 신호 백테스트
초기 투자금 10,000,000원 기준12개월
-10.70%
-₩1,070,019
최종 평가액: ₩8,929,981
매수 12회 · 매도 12회
244거래일
시작: 2025-07-15
6개월
-7.12%
-₩712,057
최종 평가액: ₩9,287,943
매수 3회 · 매도 3회
90거래일
시작: 2026-02-24
3개월
-3.12%
-₩312,194
최종 평가액: ₩9,687,806
매수 2회 · 매도 2회
56거래일
시작: 2026-04-14
1개월
매수 신호 없음
1주일
매수 신호 없음
전략별 점수 (기준일 2026-07-02)
| 카테고리 | 거장 | 점수 | 신호 | 근거 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic&Trend | Jesse Livermore | 59.29 | neutral | 추세 우위 유지 |
| Classic&Trend | Nicolas Darvas | 41.76 | bearish | 박스 내 움직임 |
| Classic&Trend | Paul Tudor Jones | 70.00 | bullish | 200DMA 생존 |
| Classic&Trend | Richard Dennis | 50.00 | neutral | 채널 내부 |
| DayTrading&Technical | Linda Raschke | 60.00 | neutral | 되돌림 진행 |
| DayTrading&Technical | Oliver Velez | 48.00 | neutral | 20EMA 하회 |
| DayTrading&Technical | Ross Cameron | 42.83 | bearish | 중립 |
| DayTrading&Technical | Steven Dux | 45.00 | bearish | 통계 패턴 미약 |
| Pattern&Momentum | Dan Zanger | 50.00 | neutral | 관망 구간 |
| Pattern&Momentum | Kristjan Kullamagi | 45.00 | bearish | 이벤트 신호 약함 |
| Pattern&Momentum | Mark Minervini | 50.77 | neutral | 수축 미완료 |
관련 뉴스/정보
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AI 해설
전략 점수와 뉴스를 바탕으로 자동 생성된 해설입니다.
종합 해설 2026-07-02 기준 NVIDIA Corporation(NVDA)의 의견은 매도이며, 종합 점수는 50.92입니다. 클래식·추세(55.26), 패턴·모멘텀(48.59), 데이트레이딩·기술(48.96) 모두 50점 내외에서 혼조 양상입니다. 최근 주가는 $192~$200 박스권에서 등락하며 $194.83으로 마감했습니다. Paul Tudor Jones(70점, 강세)가 200DMA 생존을 인정하지만, Nicolas Darvas(41.76점, 약세)는 박스권 하방을 경고하고, Ross Cameron(42.83점, 약세)·Steven Dux(45점, 약세) 등 단기 전략가들도 약세 신호를 보냅니다. Apple과의 시총 1위 경쟁 소식이 관심을 받고 있습니다. 핵심 상승 요인 3개 1. 200DMA 생존: Paul Tudor Jones(70점, 강세)가 200일 이동평균선 상단 유지를 확인했습니다. 중장기 구조가 완전히 붕괴된 것은 아닙니다. 2. 글로벌 AI 수요 견조: AI 인프라 투자 트렌드 속에서 NVDA GPU 수요는 여전히 구조적으로 강합니다. 3. Jesse Livermore 중립 지지: 59.29점으로 추세 우위가 아직 남아 있다는 판단을 유지합니다. 핵심 하락 요인 3개 1. 박스 하방 위험: Nicolas Darvas(41.76점, 약세)가 박스 하단 이탈 가능성을 경고합니다. $192 지지선이 위협받고 있습니다. 2. 단기 지표 전반 약세: Ross Cameron(42.83점, 약세), Steven Dux(45점, 약세), Oliver Velez(48점, 중립, 20EMA 하회)가 단기 기술 측면에서 부진합니다. 3. 패턴·모멘텀 미약: Kullamagi(45점, 약세), Zanger(50점, 관망) 등 패턴 전략 전반이 확실한 신호를 내지 못하고 있습니다. 리스크 경고 신뢰도(confidence) 1.84로 9개 종목 중 가장 낮습니다. 방향성 불확실성이 매우 높은 상태입니다. 수출 규제 이슈, 경쟁사(AMD 등) 추격, 밸류에이션 부담이 복합적 리스크입니다. 참고용 체크포인트 - $190 지지선 이탈 여부가 단기 방향을 결정합니다. - 20EMA 회복 시 중립으로 전환 가능성이 있습니다. - AI 데이터센터 수주 및 Blackwell 칩 공급 관련 뉴스를 주시하세요. - 거래량 급증 구간에서의 주가 방향이 핵심 신호입니다.