미국 시장
MSFT 전략 상세
최근 1년 일봉 기반의 일자별 신호와 종합의견
총점: 59.52
기준일: 2026-09-02
1년 가격 추이 + 매매 시그널
매매 신호 백테스트
초기 투자금 10,000,000원 기준12개월
+3.67%
+₩366,933
최종 평가액: ₩10,366,933
매수 3회 · 매도 2회
93거래일● 보유 중
시작: 2026-04-22
6개월
+3.67%
+₩366,933
최종 평가액: ₩10,366,933
매수 3회 · 매도 2회
93거래일● 보유 중
시작: 2026-04-22
3개월
+10.14%
+₩1,013,521
최종 평가액: ₩11,013,521
매수 1회 · 매도 0회
25거래일● 보유 중
시작: 2026-07-30
1개월
-0.61%
-₩60,815
최종 평가액: ₩9,939,185
매수 1회 · 매도 0회
20거래일● 보유 중
시작: 2026-08-06
1주일
매수 신호 없음
전략별 점수 (기준일 2026-09-02)
| 카테고리 | 거장 | 점수 | 신호 | 근거 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic&Trend | Jesse Livermore | 75.67 | bullish | 추세 우위 유지 |
| Classic&Trend | Nicolas Darvas | 49.93 | neutral | 박스 내 움직임 |
| Classic&Trend | Paul Tudor Jones | 100.00 | bullish | 200DMA 생존 |
| Classic&Trend | Richard Dennis | 50.00 | neutral | 채널 내부 |
| DayTrading&Technical | Linda Raschke | 58.00 | neutral | 리듬 약함 |
| DayTrading&Technical | Oliver Velez | 70.00 | bullish | 20EMA 위 추세 |
| DayTrading&Technical | Ross Cameron | 39.02 | bearish | 중립 |
| DayTrading&Technical | Steven Dux | 45.00 | bearish | 통계 패턴 미약 |
| Pattern&Momentum | Dan Zanger | 50.00 | neutral | 관망 구간 |
| Pattern&Momentum | Kristjan Kullamagi | 45.00 | bearish | 이벤트 신호 약함 |
| Pattern&Momentum | Mark Minervini | 75.58 | bullish | 변동성 수축 진행 |
관련 뉴스/정보
- US Stock Futures Rangebound After S&P 500, Dow Snap Three-Day Losing Streak As Oil Steadies — MSFT, DELL, UBER, ASTS, AVGO In Focus
- Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft: Two I'm Buying and One I'm Selling
Cloud computing providers make for great investments in the AI era.
- Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft: Two I'm Buying and One I'm Selling
Cloud computing providers make for great investments in the AI era.
- MSFT Stock Holds Up Amid US-Iran Geopolitical Jitters: Retail Calls It ‘Safest Earnings Play’
- What Move Will SpaceX Stock Make After Sept. 9? The Evidence Is Piling Up, and Here’s What It Shows.
SpaceX launched a record IPO almost three months ago.
- What Move Will SpaceX Stock Make After Sept. 9? The Evidence Is Piling Up, and Here’s What It Shows.
SpaceX launched a record IPO almost three months ago.
- Seattle Times, Newsday sue OpenAI and Microsoft over AI training
Investing.com -- The Seattle Times and Newsday sued OpenAI and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) on Friday, accusing the technology companies of using their journalism without permission to train artificial intelligence systems, Reuters reported.
- Seattle Times, Newsday sue OpenAI and Microsoft over AI training
The Seattle Times and Newsday sued OpenAI and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) on Friday, accusing the technology companies of using their journalism without permission to train artificial intelligence systems, Reuters reported.
- Satya Nadella Sold $43 Million of Microsoft Under a Trading Plan. Is the Insider Signal Really Bearish?
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella sold 86,525 shares on September 1 for approximately $43.39 million. The Form 4 covered eight transactions at weighted average prices ranging from $498.24 to $505.20. That is a large dollar figure, but the most important detail sits in the filing’s footnote: the sales were made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan adopted […]
- Satya Nadella Sold $43 Million of Microsoft Under a Trading Plan. Is the Insider Signal Really Bearish?
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella sold 86,525 shares on September 1 for approximately $43.39 million. The Form 4 covered eight transactions at weighted average prices ranging from $498.24 to $505.20. That is a large dollar figure, but the most important detail sits in the filing’s footnote: the sales were made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan adopted […]
- Satya Nadella Sold $43 Million of Microsoft Under a Trading Plan. Is the Insider Signal Really Bearish?
- MSFT Stock Faces A Bigger Test Than Earnings, Gene Munster Says — Why The ‘Bot Boogeyman’ Won’t Go Away
- AI hiring boom could turn into a surprise tailwind for software: Bernstein
Investing.com -- Artificial intelligence could prove a surprise tailwind for software companies if productivity gains spur businesses to hire more workers rather than cut headcount, Bernstein analysts said, challenging one of the sector’s key bearish narratives.
- AI hiring boom could turn into a surprise tailwind for software: Bernstein
Artificial intelligence could prove a surprise tailwind for software companies if productivity gains spur businesses to hire more workers rather than cut headcount, Bernstein analysts said, challenging one of the sector’s key bearish narratives.
- Microsoft Stock (MSFT) Forecast – Stifel Raises Price Target, but Retains Hold Rating. Here’s Why
- ChronoScale Says It Plans a 50 MW Microsoft AI Deployment. Can CHRN Fund the Build Without Diluting Shareholders?
ChronoScale said on August 27 that it plans with Microsoft to deploy 50 megawatts of AI infrastructure in North America using NVIDIA GB300 NVL72 systems and liquid cooling. The release did not disclose project pricing or committed revenue, although ChronoScale had already disclosed a two-year GPU services agreement with Microsoft tied to the planned deployment. […]
- ChronoScale Says It Plans a 50 MW Microsoft AI Deployment. Can CHRN Fund the Build Without Diluting Shareholders?
ChronoScale said on August 27 that it plans with Microsoft to deploy 50 megawatts of AI infrastructure in North America using NVIDIA GB300 NVL72 systems and liquid cooling. The release did not disclose project pricing or committed revenue, although ChronoScale had already disclosed a two-year GPU services agreement with Microsoft tied to the planned deployment. […]
- What Will Microsoft (MSFT) Reveal With Its New AI And Cloud Reporting?
Microsoft (NasdaqGS:MSFT) announced plans to restructure its financial reporting and segment disclosures from fiscal 2027 to highlight AI and cloud activities. The company will consolidate operating segments and introduce new Azure specific disclosures to give investors clearer insight into its cloud performance. Management framed the overhaul as a way to better align financial reporting with Microsoft's growing focus on AI driven products and services. The new reporting format is expected...
- What Will Microsoft (MSFT) Reveal With Its New AI And Cloud Reporting?
Microsoft (NasdaqGS:MSFT) announced plans to restructure its financial reporting and segment disclosures from fiscal 2027 to highlight AI and cloud activities. The company will consolidate operating segments and introduce new Azure specific disclosures to give investors clearer insight into its cloud performance. Management framed the overhaul as a way to better align financial reporting with Microsoft's growing focus on AI driven products and services. The new reporting format is expected...
- The Only Account the IRS Never Taxes Going In, Growing, or Coming Out: 3 ETFs That Belong Inside It
One account legally strips taxes from contributions, growth, and withdrawals all at once, and most people who have it are leaving the compounding power almost entirely on the table. Three ETFs can fix that problem for good.
- The Only Account the IRS Never Taxes Going In, Growing, or Coming Out: 3 ETFs That Belong Inside It
One account legally strips taxes from contributions, growth, and withdrawals all at once, and most people who have it are leaving the compounding power almost entirely on the table. Three ETFs can fix that problem for good.
- The Gap Between CRWD Stock And Its Own Numbers
CrowdStrike's stock has soared past its rivals, but a look at the books shows a very different pecking order. Is the market seeing the future, or just a mirage.
- The Gap Between CRWD Stock And Its Own Numbers
CrowdStrike's stock has soared past its rivals, but a look at the books shows a very different pecking order. Is the market seeing the future, or just a mirage.
- Own Oracle For The AI Boom? PTC's Story Looks Cleaner
Both software players are riding the AI wave, but PTC offers a clearer forward path with stronger growth and profitability, while Oracle asks investors to fund a massive, costly buildout.
- Midea SMART MASTER at IFA 2026: From AI Agents to Embodied Intelligence
Midea has placed SMART MASTER at the centre of its IFA 2026 showcase. Guided by this year's "Simply ideal" philosophy, SMART MASTER is Midea's AI-powered home ecosystem, built to create a smart home that listens, understands and responds naturally.
- Stock Market Today: Dow Sinks Amid Rate Fears; Sandisk, KLA Lead Nasdaq-100 As Utilities Gain
Stock Market Today: The Dow Jones index falls Friday on a surprise August jobs report. Lululemon stock plunges on earnings.
- Why IBM, Microsoft Back Move for Quantum Policy Czar
A new bill aims to secure U.S. supply chains and elevate the Commerce Department to lead national quantum policy.
- Stifel Revamps Microsoft Target With a Catch
Microsoft's AI story is improving, but one crucial doubt remains
- Magnificent Seven Flash Strong Signal Never Seen Before
A historic split challenges the market's most powerful leadership trade
- Microsoft Drops 1.6%, Opens Azure's $101.9 Billion Door
Quarterly sales become visible, but cloud profitability remains buried inside Microsoft's reorganized reporting structure.
AI 해설
전략 점수와 뉴스를 바탕으로 자동 생성된 해설입니다.
## Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) 종목 해설 — 2026-07-16 ### 종합 해설 Microsoft Corporation은 2026-07-16 기준 **유지** 의견으로, 종합 점수 58.57점을 기록하고 있습니다. 클래식(59.35), 패턴(55.02), 일간(61.25) 점수가 모두 55~62점 범위에 분포하며 비교적 균형 잡힌 중립적 흐름을 보입니다. 90일간 주가는 $409.41에서 $401.10으로 약 2% 소폭 하락하며 박스권 횡보 중입니다. 신뢰도(17.13)는 중하 수준으로, 방향성 결정까지 추가 시간이 필요한 상황입니다. ### 핵심 상승 요인 3개 1. **다바스 박스 상단 돌파**: Nicolas Darvas 전략(92.6점)이 박스 상단 돌파를 확인하며 가장 강력한 매수 신호를 발하고 있습니다. 2. **20EMA 위 추세 및 리듬 유지**: Oliver Velez(70점)와 Linda Raschke(78점) 전략이 20EMA 위 추세 유지와 단기 리듬 형성을 확인, 단기 강세 모멘텀을 지지합니다. 3. **AI 클라우드 장기 투자 지속**: Wedgewood Partners의 투자자 서한이 Microsoft의 AI 관련 자본 지출을 긍정적으로 평가하며 Azure AI 부문의 장기 성장성을 재확인하고 있습니다. ### 핵심 하락 요인 3개 1. **200DMA 하회 리스크**: Paul Tudor Jones 전략(45점)이 200일 이동평균선 하회 리스크를 경고하며, 중장기 추세 지지선에 대한 불안 신호가 감지됩니다. 2. **Jesse Livermore 추세 중립/약세**: Livermore 전략(49.8점)이 추세 중립/약세를 판단하며, 모멘텀 기반 매수 근거가 취약합니다. 3. **Steven Dux 약세**: 단기 통계 패턴(45점) 미약 신호가 지속되며, 단기 가격 흐름의 상승 동력이 충분하지 않음을 나타냅니다. ### 리스크 경고 - 클라우드 인프라 자본 지출 급증이 단기 수익성에 부담을 줄 수 있으며, 투자자들의 비용 효율성 우려가 커지고 있습니다. - Meta의 클라우드 시장 진입(AWS 임원 영입 보도)은 Azure의 시장 경쟁 강도를 높이는 잠재적 위협 요인입니다. - Oracle의 급락 등 클라우드 섹터 전반의 변동성 확대가 동반 리스크로 작용할 수 있습니다. ### 참고용 체크포인트 - $400 지지선 유지 여부가 단기 핵심 기술적 분기점 - 200DMA 이탈 여부를 중기 하락 전환 신호로 설정 - 다음 분기 Azure 클라우드 성장률 발표가 주가 방향성의 핵심 촉매 - Darvas 박스 상단 돌파의 지속성 확인을 위해 2~4주 추가 관찰 권장