미국 시장
MSFT 전략 상세
최근 1년 일봉 기반의 일자별 신호와 종합의견
총점: 54.28
기준일: 2026-07-02
1년 가격 추이 + 매매 시그널
매매 신호 백테스트
초기 투자금 10,000,000원 기준12개월
-7.83%
-₩782,559
최종 평가액: ₩9,217,441
매수 4회 · 매도 4회
242거래일
시작: 2025-07-17
6개월
-5.87%
-₩587,061
최종 평가액: ₩9,412,939
매수 2회 · 매도 2회
50거래일
시작: 2026-04-22
3개월
-5.87%
-₩587,061
최종 평가액: ₩9,412,939
매수 2회 · 매도 2회
50거래일
시작: 2026-04-22
1개월
매수 신호 없음
1주일
매수 신호 없음
전략별 점수 (기준일 2026-07-02)
| 카테고리 | 거장 | 점수 | 신호 | 근거 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic&Trend | Jesse Livermore | 46.64 | neutral | 추세 중립/약세 |
| Classic&Trend | Nicolas Darvas | 50.01 | neutral | 박스 내 움직임 |
| Classic&Trend | Paul Tudor Jones | 45.00 | bearish | 200DMA 하회 리스크 |
| Classic&Trend | Richard Dennis | 50.00 | neutral | 채널 내부 |
| DayTrading&Technical | Linda Raschke | 78.00 | bullish | 리듬 약함 |
| DayTrading&Technical | Oliver Velez | 70.00 | bullish | 20EMA 위 추세 |
| DayTrading&Technical | Ross Cameron | 53.97 | neutral | 중립 |
| DayTrading&Technical | Steven Dux | 45.00 | bearish | 통계 패턴 미약 |
| Pattern&Momentum | Dan Zanger | 50.00 | neutral | 관망 구간 |
| Pattern&Momentum | Kristjan Kullamagi | 60.00 | neutral | 이벤트 신호 약함 |
| Pattern&Momentum | Mark Minervini | 48.87 | neutral | 수축 미완료 |
관련 뉴스/정보
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- Here is Why Microsoft (MSFT) is One of the Best NASDAQ Stocks to Invest In For Long Term
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- Meta’s Bold $6.5 Billion Power Move to Turbocharge Its Cloud and AI Takeover
The AI arms race has entered a new phase. For the past three years, the biggest technology companies have competed by buying as many Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) GPUs as they could get their hands on. Now they’re racing to build something even more valuable: their own AI chips. That shift is about more than lowering costs. ...
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- Based on Its Latest Valuation, Is SpaceX Stock a Buy in July?
- What the Rest of Us Can Learn From Microsoft's Early Retirement Offer
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- Anthropic just landed its biggest win of 2026 so far
On June 12, Amazon engineers handed a report to the U.S. Commerce Department. Within hours, two of Anthropic's newest AI models went offline for every user on the planet. Nineteen days later, Anthropic got them back. The return of Claude Fable 5 to global availability on July 1 is the result of two ...
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- Why FNGU’s 0.95% Fee Is Only Half the Hidden Cost
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AI 해설
전략 점수와 뉴스를 바탕으로 자동 생성된 해설입니다.
종합 해설 2026-07-02 기준 Microsoft Corporation(MSFT)의 의견은 매도이며, 종합 점수는 54.28입니다. 데이트레이딩·기술 점수(61.74)가 가장 높고, 패턴·모멘텀(52.96), 클래식·추세(47.91) 순입니다. 최근 주가는 $357에서 $390까지 회복세를 보이며 $390.49로 마감했습니다. Linda Raschke(78점, 강세)와 Oliver Velez(70점, 강세)가 단기 기술적 강세를 인정하지만, Paul Tudor Jones(45점, 약세)는 200DMA 하회 리스크를 경고하며 전체적으로 매도 판정이 유지됩니다. $2.5억 규모 AI 도입 전문 사업부 출범이 호재로 작용했습니다. 핵심 상승 요인 3개 1. 단기 기술적 강세: Linda Raschke(78점, 강세)와 Oliver Velez(70점, 강세)가 모두 단기 기술 지표에서 긍정 신호를 포착했습니다. 20EMA 위에서 추세가 형성되고 있습니다. 2. AI 도입 사업부 출범: $25억 자본을 투입한 AI 도입 전문 조직 신설로 AI 비즈니스 상용화 가속화 기대감이 형성되고 있습니다. 3. 단기 주가 회복: $357 저점에서 $390까지 9% 반등에 성공했습니다. Kristjan Kullamagi(60점, 중립)도 이벤트 신호를 감지했습니다. 핵심 하락 요인 3개 1. 200DMA 하회 리스크: Paul Tudor Jones(45점, 약세)가 200일 이동평균선 하회 위험을 명시적으로 경고합니다. 중장기 추세에서 핵심 지지선이 위협받고 있습니다. 2. 추세 중립·약세 전환: Jesse Livermore(46.64점, 중립, 추세 중립/약세)가 과거 강세 추세가 중립으로 약화되었다고 평가합니다. 3. 패턴 수축 미완료: Minervini(48.87점, 중립), Zanger(50점, 관망)가 뚜렷한 돌파 패턴 완성을 확인하지 못했습니다. 리스크 경고 신뢰도(confidence) 8.56으로 낮습니다. 200DMA 이탈이 확정될 경우 매도세가 가속화될 수 있습니다. AI 투자 규모 대비 실제 매출 기여도 검증이 필요한 시점입니다. 참고용 체크포인트 - 200일 이동평균선 수준과의 괴리를 매일 확인하세요. - $390 저항선 안착 여부가 단기 추세 전환의 분수령입니다. - AI 사업부 구체적 성과 발표 시 모멘텀 변화를 주목하세요. - 빅테크 실적 발표 시즌 전 포지션 조정을 고려하세요.